The impact of technological innovations on economic complexity in South Africa

Someleze Sithole, Thobeka Ncanywa, Dorah Dubihlela

Article ID: 7355
Vol 8, Issue 9, 2024

VIEWS - 1 (Abstract) 0 (PDF)

Abstract


Technological innovation allows nations to produce sophisticated products more efficiently and at higher quality to increase exports. Countries that aim to produce and export sophisticated products can improve their economic complexity and lead to the country’s economic development. Hence, the study investigates the impact of technological innovation on economic complexity in South Africa. Technological innovation, exports, and manufactured products were used as variables to examine South Africa’s economic complexity index. The study employed the ARDL method to determine the relationship among the variables. The ARDL F-bounds test reflected the long-run cointegration among the selected variables. The study produced long-run positive estimates of technological innovation, exports, and manufactured products on economic complexity, however, manufactured products and exports were insignificant. Granger causality indicated unidirectional causality on economic complexity to manufactured products, exports to technological innovation, and a bi-directional causal effect from exports to economic complexity and technological innovation to economic complexity. The study recommends that South Africa focus on innovation, create more diversified and sophisticated products and processes, and promote more manufacturing firms, particularly Agri-processed products.


Keywords


economic complexity; technological innovation; exports; manufactured products; autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL); granger causality

Full Text:

PDF


References


Akinwale, Y. O. (2022). Towards understanding the triangular relationship between technology innovation, human capital and economic growth in South Africa. International Journal of Learning and Change, 14(3), 258. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijlc.2022.122521

Amir, A., & Bashir. A. (2019). Relationship between government expenditure on education and GDP per capita in Pakistan: An ARDL approach to cointegration. Advances and Applications in Statistics, 55(1), 77-103.

Banton, C. (2021). Serial Correlation: Definition, How to Determine, and analysis. Investopedia.

Bhorat, H., Whitehead, C. A. (2021). Understanding Economic Complexity: An Application to the MER sector. Development Policy Research Unit.

Bhorat, H., Ewinyu, A., Lilenstein, K., et al. (2019). Economic complexity and employment expansion: The case of South Africa. Working Papers idrcdprusouthafrica, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.

Breitenbach, M. C., Chisadza, C., & Clance, M. (2021). The Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and output volatility: High vs. low-income countries. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 31(4), 566–580. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2021.1995467

Can, M., Brusselaers, J., & Mercan, M. (2022). The effect of export composition on energy demand: A Fresh Evidence in the context of economic complexity. Review of Development Economics, 26(2), 687–703. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12854

CFI Team. (2022). Theories of Growth. Available online: www.corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resource/economics/theories-of-growth/ (accessed on 3 May 2023).

Chauke, R., & Ncanywa, T. (2021). Infrastructure Development and Economic Complexity in South Africa: Can Infrastructure Development Influence Economic Complexity? Technium Social Sciences Journal.

Chetty, P. (2018). Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and its advantages. Available online: https://www.Projectguru.in/auto-regressive-distributed-lag-model-ardl/ (accessed on 3 May 2023).

Claudia, T. P., Luiz, A. P., & Priscila, R. (2021). Innovation and Economic complexity in BRICS. International journal of knowledge Management Studies.

Coskun, N., Lopcu, K., Tuncer, I. (2018). Economic Complexity Approach to Development Policy: where Turkey stands in comparison to OECD plus China? In: Proceeding of the Middle East Economic Association.

Djeunankan, R., Njangang, H., & Tékam, H. (2023). How does economic complexity improve energy efficiency? Mechanism discussion and empirical test. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(43), 96906–96925. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28920-z

Erkan, B., & Yildirimci, E. (2015). Economic Complexity and Export Competitiveness: The Case of Turkey. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 195, 524–533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.06.262

European Central Bank. (2017). How does Innovation lead to growth? Available online: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/educational/explainers/tell-me-more/html/growth.en.html#:~:text=what%20is%20innovation%3F,make%20their%20production%20more%20efficient (accessed on 3 May 2023).

Filipescu, D. A., Prashantham, S., Rialp, A., et al. (2013). Technological Innovation and Exports: Unpacking Their Reciprocal Causality. Journal of International Marketing, 21(1), 23–38. https://doi.org/10.1509/jim.12.0099

Gao, J., & Zhou, T. (2018). Quantifying China’s regional economic complexity. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 492, 1591–1603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.084

Hidalgo, C. A. (2021). Economic complexity theory and applications. Nature Reviews Physics, 3(2), 92–113. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42254-020-00275-1

Kahn, A., Sithole, M., & Buchana, Y. (2022). An analysis of the impact of technological innovation on productivity in South African manufacturing firms using direct measures of innovation. South African Journal of Economics, 90(1), 37–56. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12310

Kelly, A. M., Ketu, I., & Tchouto, J. E. T. (2022). Investigating the Link between Exhaustion of Natural Resources and Economic Sophistication in Sub-Saharan Africa. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4103121

Laverde-Rojas, H., & Correa, J. C. (2021). Economic Complexity, Economic Growth, and CO2 Emissions: A Panel Data Analysis. International Economic Journal, 35(4), 411–433. https://doi.org/10.1080/10168737.2021.1975303

Maradana, R. P., Pradhan, R. P., Chetterjee. D. et al. (2017). Does innovation promote economic growth? Evidence from European countries. Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, 6(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13731-016-0061-9.

Menegaki, A. N. (2019). The ARDL Method in the Energy-Growth Nexus Field; Best Implementation Strategies. Economies, 7(4), 105. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7040105

Mohamed, M. M. A., Liu, P., & Nie, G. (2022). Causality between Technological Innovation and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Economies of Developing Countries. Sustainability 2022, 3586. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14063586.

Molele, S., & Ncanywa, T. (2022). Interrogating the association between current account and economic complexity. International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147- 4478), 11(10), 160–170. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v11i10.2081

Nasrullah, M., Rizwanullah, M., Yu, X., et al. (2021). Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12(6), 2256–2270. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2021.030

Neagu, O. (2019). The Link between Economic Complexity and Carbon Emissions in the European Union Countries: A Model Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) Approach. Sustainability, 11(17), 4753. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11174753

Nguéda, R. D. N., & Kelly, A. M. (2022). The Nexus between Economic Complexity and Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa. South Asian Journal of Social Studies and Economics, 41–52. https://doi.org/10.9734/sajsse/2022/v14i230377

Nguyen, H. T., Luu, H. N., & Do, N. H. (2020). The dynamic relationship between greenfield investments, cross-border M&As, domestic investment and economic growth in Vietnam. Economic Change and Restructuring, 54(4), 1065–1089. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-020-09292-7

Nkoro, E., & Uko, A. K. (2016). Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Cointegration technique: Application and Interpretation. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 5, 63-91.

Nkoro, E., & Uko, A. K. (2023). Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Growth: Financial Sector Development in Nigeria, 1981-2020. Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, 23(1), 77-100.

Pérez, C., & Claveria, O. (2020). Natural resources and human development: Evidence from mineral-dependent African countries using exploratory graphical analysis. Resources Policy, 65, 101535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101535

Qoko, A., Sibanda, K and Senzangakhona, P. (2024). Health Capital and Economic performance in selected Southern African Development Community (SADC) countries. Cogent Economics and Finance, 12(1), 1–7, https://doi.org/10.1080/2332039.2024.2337479

Ralarala, O., & Ncanywa, T. (2019). Investigating the Link between Economic Complexity Index and Monetary Policy Lending Rates in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries. Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, 8, 1339–1350. https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2019.08.117

Rojas, H. L., & Correa, J. C. (2021). Economic Complexity, Economic Growth, and C02 Emissions: A penal data analysis. International Economic Journal. https://doi.org/10.1080/10168737.2021.1975303.

Sepehrdoust, H., Davarikish, R., & Setarehie, M. (2019). The knowledge-based products and economic complexity in developing countries. Heliyon, 5(12), e02979. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02979

Sihlobo, W. (2023). South Africa is Exporting more food, but it needs to find new growth frontiers. Stellenbosch University.

Tabash, M. I., Farooq, U., Aljughaiman, A. A., et al. (2024). Does economic complexity help in achieving environmental sustainability? New empirical evidence from N-11 countries. Heliyon, 10(11), e31794. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e31794

Taha, A., Bekun. F. V., Agozie. D. Q. et al. (2022). Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis from lens of economic complexity index for BRICS: Evidence from second generation panel analysis. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments.

Wang, X., & Xu, L. (2021). The Impact of Technological Innovation on Economic Growth: Evidence from China. Atlantis Press.

William, G. O., & Oshadi, F. A. (2021). Can Africa raise Export Competitiveness through Economic Complexity? Evidence from (non)-Parametric panel techniques. African Development Review.

Zhou, T., & Goa, J. (2017). Quantifying China’s regional Economic Complexity. Physica. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.084.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i9.7355

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Someleze Sithole, Thobeka Ncanywa, Dorah Dubihlela

License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

This site is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.