Public governance, public investment and regional economic growth: Evidence from Vietnam

Le Thi Thu Diem

Article ID: 4461
Vol 8, Issue 6, 2024

VIEWS - 343 (Abstract) 222 (PDF)

Abstract


The article provides evidence on the effect of local public governance on the impact of public investment on local and regional economic growth, using spatial and regional logic. The research uses the spatial Durbin model and produces a panel data set that was conducted on 63 provinces of Vietnam from 2006 to 2022. Based on the interaction between public governance and public investment, the main findings indicate that their interaction plays an important role in adjusting the effects of public investment and public governance on economic growth not only in the locality but also spillover to neighboring localities in both the short and long terms. It suggests that local public governance not only hampers the impact of local public investment on local economic growth but also has spillover effects on the growth of neighboring provinces or regions in Vietnam. Additionally, the results of detailed analysis of PCI component indicators show that many aspects of local public governance are hindering local economic growth but contributing to promoting neighboring localities economic growth. Or, it has no effect the locality but promote or hinder the regional economic growth. The findings in this study implies that authorities of localities need to be cautious when using resources to improve the various aspects of public governance when designing strategies to enhance the quality of local public governance. It also suggests that this spillover effect is a crucial factor in advocating for more redistributive fiscal policies and regional governance policies aimed at reducing economic disparities caused by territorial boundaries. Therefore, authorities should prioritize regional cooperation strategies in their decisions regarding public governance and public capital allocation.


Keywords


local public governance; regional economic growth; local public investment; spillover effect; spatial economic

Full Text:

PDF


References


Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. (2008). The role of institutions in growth and development. World Bank Washington, DC.

Adenuga, A. O., & Evbuomwan, O. (2013). Dynamics of Governance, Investment and economic Growth in Nigeria. Botswana Journal of Economics, 10(14).

Adzima, K. D., & Baita, K. E. (2019). The impact of governance on economic growth: An empirical assessment in Sub-Saharan Africa. SSRN. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3470607

Agosin, M. R., & Machado, R. (2005). Foreign Investment in Developing Countries: Does it Crowd in Domestic Investment? Oxford Development Studies, 33(2), 149–162. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600810500137749

Andrade, J. S., & Duarte, A. P. (2016). Crowding-in and crowding-out effects of public investments in the Portuguese economy. International Review of Applied Economics, 30(4), 488–506. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692171.2015.1122746

Anselin, L. (1988). Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models. In: Studies in Operational Regional Science. Springer Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-7799-1

Anselin, L. (2022). Spatial econometrics. Handbook of Spatial Analysis in the Social Sciences, 101–122. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781789903942.00014

Aschauer, D. A. (1989a). Does public capital crowd out private capital? Journal of Monetary Economics, 24(2), 171–188. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90002-0

Aschauer, D. A. (1989b). Public investment and productivity growth in the Group of Seven. Economic Perspectives, 13(5), 17–25.

Bah, M., & Kpognon, K. (2020). Public investment and economic growth in ECOWAS countries: Does governance Matter? African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, 13(6), 713–726. https://doi.org/10.1080/20421338.2020.1796051

Bahal, G., Raissi, M., & Tulin, V. (2018). Crowding-out or crowding-in? Public and private investment in India. World Development, 109, 323–333. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.05.004

Baicker, K. (2005). The spillover effects of state spending. Journal of Public Economics, 89(2–3), 529–544. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2003.11.003

Baland, J. M., Moene, K. O., & Robinson, J. A. (2010). Governance and Development*. Handbooks in Economics, 4597–4656. https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-52944-2.00007-0

Bardhan, P., & Mookherjee, D. (2006). Decentralization and Local Governance in Developing Countries: A comparative perspective. MIT press. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/2297.001.0001

Barhoumi, K., Vu, H., Nikaein Towfighian, S., et al. (2018). Public Investment Efficiency in Sub-Saharan African Countries. Departmental Papers/Policy Papers, 18(09), 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484360019.087

Barro, R. J. (1990). Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogeneous Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5, Part 2), S103–S125. https://doi.org/10.1086/261726

Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407–443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943

Bon, N. V. (2019). Institutional Quality and the Public Investment-Growth Relationship in Vietnam. Theoretical Economics Letters, 9(4), 691–708. https://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2019.94046

Bouamoud, S., & Kassaoui, R. (2023). Regional Public Investment and Regional Economic Growth: Study Using Spatial Econometrics Panel Data Approach. African Scientific Journal, 3(16), 354–377. https://doi.org/ff10.5281/zenodo.7705186

Bukhari, S. A. H. A. S., Ali, L., & Saddaqat, M. (2007). Public Investment and Economic Growth in the Three Little Dragons: Evidence from Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data. International Journal of Business and Information, 2(1), 57–79.

Cadot, O., Röller, L. H., & Stephan, A. (2006). Contribution to productivity or pork barrel? The two faces of infrastructure investment. Journal of Public Economics, 90(6–7), 1133–1153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2005.08.006

Canh, N. T., & Phong, N. A. (2018). Effect of Public Investment on Private Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence From Vietnam by Economic Industries. Applied Economics and Finance, 5(2), 95. https://doi.org/10.11114/aef.v5i2.2998

Castells, A., & Solé-Ollé, A. (2005). The regional allocation of infrastructure investment: The role of equity, efficiency and political factors. European Economic Review, 49(5), 1165–1205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2003.07.002

Cohen, J. P., & Paul, C. J. M. (2004). Public Infrastructure Investment, Interstate Spatial Spillovers, and Manufacturing Costs. Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(2), 551–560. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465304323031102

Cook, L. M., & Munnell, A. H. (1990). How does public infrastructure affect regional economic performance? New England Economic Review, 11–33.

Cooray, A. (2009). Government Expenditure, Governance and Economic Growth. Comparative Economic Studies, 51(3), 401–418. https://doi.org/10.1057/ces.2009.7

Costa‐i‐Font, J., & Rodriguez‐Oreggia, E. (2005). Is the Impact of Public Investment Neutral Across the Regional Income Distribution? Evidence from Mexico. Economic Geography, 81(3), 305–322. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1944-8287.2005.tb00272.x

Dabla-Norris, E., Brumby, J., Kyobe, A., et al. (2012). Investing in public investment: an index of public investment efficiency. Journal of Economic Growth, 17(3), 235–266. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-012-9078-5

De Siano, R., & D’Uva, M. (2014). Do spatial interdependencies matter in Italian regional specialization? Geographical Analysis, 46(2), 185–208. https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.12035

Dinh Thanh, S., Hart, N., & Canh, N. P. (2020). Public spending, public governance and economic growth at the Vietnamese provincial level: A disaggregate analysis. Economic Systems, 44(4), 100780. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2020.100780

Dzhumashev, R. (2014). Corruption and growth: The role of governance, public spending, and economic development. Economic Modelling, 37, 202–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.11.007

Egger, H., & Falkinger, J. (2006). The role of public infrastructure and subsidies for firm location and international outsourcing. European Economic Review, 50(8), 1993–2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2005.10.002

Elhorst, J. P. (2014). Spatial panel models. Handbook of Regional Science, 3.

Elhorst, J. P. (2017). Spatial Panel Data Analysis. Encyclopedia of GIS, 2, 2050–2058.

Elhorst, J. P., & Elhorst, J. P. (2014). Spatial panel data models. Spatial Econometrics: From Cross-Sectional Data to Spatial Panels, 37–93. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40340-8_3

Erenburg, S. J., & Wohar, M. E. (1995). Public and private investment: Are there causal linkages? Journal of Macroeconomics, 17(1), 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/0164-0704(95)80001-8

Everhart, S. S., Martinez-Vazquez, J., Martinez-Varquez, J., & McNab, R. M. (2003). Corruption, investment, and growth in developing countries. Proceedings. Annual Conference on Taxation and Minutes of the Annual Meeting of the National Tax Association, 96, 84–90.

Gallo, J. L., & Not Available, C. E. (2003). Exploratory spatial data analysis of the distribution of regional per capita GDP in Europe, 1980–1995. Papers in Regional Science, 82(2), 175–201. https://doi.org/10.1007/s101100300145

Ganau, R. (2017). Institutions and economic growth in Africa: a spatial econometric approach. Economia Politica, 34(3), 425–444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40888-017-0057-3

Grigoli, F., & Mills, Z. (2014). Institutions and public investment: An empirical analysis. Economics of Governance, 15(2), 131–153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-013-0137-y

Gupta, S., Liu, E. X., & Mulas-Granados, C. (2016). Now or later? The political economy of public investment in democracies. European Journal of Political Economy, 45, 101–114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.10.004

Hanson, G. H. (2001). Scale economies and the geographic concentration of industry. Journal of Economic Geography, 1(3), 255–276. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/1.3.255

Hanson, S. (1986). The geography of urban transportation. Guilford Press (New York).

Haque, M. E., & Kneller, R. (2015). Why does Public Investment Fail to Raise Economic Growth? The Role of Corruption. The Manchester School, 83(6), 623–651. https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12068

Haughwout, A. F. (2002). Public infrastructure investments, productivity and welfare in fixed geographic areas. Journal of Public Economics, 83(3), 405–428. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(00)00164-X

Hirschman, A. O. (1958). The strategy of economic development. Yale University Press (New Haven, CT, USA).

Jaccard, J., Wan, C. K., & Turrisi, R. (1990). The detection and interpretation of interaction effects between continuous variables in multiple regression. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 25(4), 467–478. https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327906mbr2504_4

Johansson, B., Karlsson, C., & Stough, R. (2001). Theories of endogenous regional growth—lessons for regional policies. In: Theories of endogenous regional growth: Lessons for regional policies. Springer. pp. 406–414.

Kamps, C. (2005). Is There a Lack of Public Capital in the European Union? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.753004

Kaufmann, D., & Kraay, A. (2002). Growth without Governance. Economía, 3(1), 169–229. https://doi.org/10.1353/eco.2002.0016

Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2003). Governance Matters III: Governance Indicators for 1996–2002. In: Policy Research Working Papers. The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-3106

Keefer, P., & Knack, S. (2007). Boondoggles, rent-seeking, and political checks and balances: public investment under unaccountable governments. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 89(3), 566–572. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.89.3.566

Kemmerling, A., & Stephan, A. (2008). The politico-economic determinants and productivity effects of regional transport investment in Europe. EIB Papers, 13(2), 36–60.

König, M., & Winkler, A. (2020). COVID-19 and Economic Growth: Does Good Government Performance Pay Off? Intereconomics, 55(4), 224–231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-020-0906-0

Krugman, P. (1991). Increasing Returns and Economic Geography. Journal of Political Economy, 99(3), 483–499. https://doi.org/10.1086/261763

Krugman, P. (1998). What’s new about the new economic geography? Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 14(2), 7–17. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/14.2.7

LeSage, J. (2015). Spatial econometrics. In: Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Economic Geography. Edward Elgar Publishing. pp. 23–40. https://doi.org/10.4337/9780857932679.00007

LeSage, J. P. (1999). The theory and practice of spatial econometrics. University of Toledo. Toledo, Ohio, 28(11), 1–39.

Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7

Luat, D. G., Cuong, D. V., & Tung, B. D. (2016). Enhancing Quality and Efficiency of Public Investment in Vietnam up to 2020. Journal of Economics Development, 23(1), 02–24. https://doi.org/10.24311/jed/2016.23.1.01

Mahran, H. A. (2022). The impact of governance on economic growth: spatial econometric approach. Review of Economics and Political Science, 8(1), 37–53. https://doi.org/10.1108/reps-06-2021-0058

Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477

Martin, P. (1999). Public policies, regional inequalities and growth. Journal of Public Economics, 73(1), 85–105. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(98)00110-8

Martin, P., & Rogers, C. A. (1995). Industrial location and public infrastructure. Journal of International Economics, 39(3-4), 335–351. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1996(95)01376-6

Martínez-Córdoba, P. J., Benito, B., & García-Sánchez, I. M. (2021). Efficiency in the governance of the COVID-19 pandemic: political and territorial factors. Globalization and Health, 17(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-021-00759-4

Miyamoto, H., Baum, A., Gueorguiev, N., et al. (2020). Growth Impact of Public Investment and the Role of Infrastructure Governance. In: Schwartz G, Fouad M, Hansen TS, Verdier G (editors). Well-Spent How Strong Infrastructure Governance Can End Waste in Public Investment. International Monetary. pp. 15–29. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513511818.071

Munnell, A. H. (1990). Why has productivity growth declined? Productivity and public investment. New England Economic Review, Jan, 3–22.

Musgrave, R. A. (1959). The theory of public finance; a study in public economy. Kogakusha Co.

Ngo, H. T., & Duong, H. N. (2023). COVID-19 pandemic and firm performance: evidence on industry differentials and impacting channels. International Journal of Social Economics, 51(4), 569–583. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijse-02-2023-0072

Nguyen, H. T. (2021). The impact of investments on economic growth: Evidence from Vietnam. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business (JAFEB), 8(8), 345–353.

Nguyen, T. D., Le, A. H., Thalassinos, E. I., et al. (2022). The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth and Monetary Policy: An Analysis from the DSGE Model in Vietnam. Economies, 10(7), 159. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10070159

Nguyen, T. T., & van Dijk, M. A. (2012). Corruption, growth, and governance: Private vs. state-owned firms in Vietnam. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(11), 2935–2948. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.03.027

Oates, W. E. (1972). Fiscal federalism. Books.

OECD. (2001). Governance in the 21st century. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. OECD.

Ottaviano, G. (2008). Infrastructure and Economic Geography: An Overview of Theory and Evidence. European Investment Bank, Economic and Financial Studies, EIB Papers, 1.

Rodríguez-Pose, A., Psycharis, Y., & Tselios, V. (2012). Public investment and regional growth and convergence: Evidence from Greece. Papers in Regional Science, 91(3), 543–568. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00444.x

Safdar, S., Khan, A., & Andlib, Z. (2022). Impact of good governance and natural resource rent on economic and environmental sustainability: an empirical analysis for South Asian economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(55), 82948–82965. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21401-9

Seldadyo, H., Elhorst, J. P., & De Haan, J. (2010). Geography and governance: Does space matter? Papers in Regional Science, 89(3), 625–641. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2009.00273.x

Shah, A. (2006). Local Governance in Developing Countries. The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-6565-6

Smith, B. (2007). Good governance and development. Bloomsbury Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-06218-5

Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Su, T. D., & Bui, T. M. H. (2017). Government size, public governance and private investment: The case of Vietnamese provinces. Economic Systems, 41(4), 651–666. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.01.002

Su, T. D., & Nguyen, C. P. (2021). Twin balances, public governance and private investment: Quantile estimation for OECD countries. International Economics, 165, 85–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.12.004

Tarschys, D. (2001). Wealth, values, institutions: Trends in government and governance. Governance in the 21st Century, 27, 41.

Teruel, R. G., & Kuroda, Y. (2005). Public infrastructure and productivity growth in Philippine agriculture, 1974–2000. Journal of Asian Economics, 16(3), 555–576. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2005.04.011

The World Bank. (2018). Public investment management in Vietnam: Assessment and Reform Priorities for Overcoming the Bottlenecks. The World Bank.

Van Luong, K., Haa, H. T. M., & Vixathepb, S. (2020). Impact of Public Investment on Gross Regional Domestic Product in Vietnam. Journal of University of Hyogo, 71(1-3), 79–98.

VCCI and Fulbright. (2022). Annual Economic Report of the Mekong Delta 2022: Convert the development model and integrated planning (Vietnamese). https://fsppm.fulbright.edu.vn/vn/tin-tuc-su-kien/an-pham-moi/bao-cao-kinh-te-thuong-nien-dong-bang-song-cuu-long-nam-2022-chuyen-doi-mo-hinh-phat-trien-va-quy-hoach-tich-h-1333/.

Vo, T. T. A., & Tran, N. T. A. (2021). The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Firms: Evidence from Vietnam. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3934934

Yamano, N., & Ohkawara, T. (2000). The Regional Allocation of Public Investment: Efficiency or Equity? Journal of Regional Science, 40(2), 205–229. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-4146.00172

Zhang, J., Zhang, R., Xu, J., et al. (2021). Infrastructure Investment and Regional Economic Growth: Evidence from Yangtze River Economic Zone. Land, 10(3), 320. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10030320




DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i6.4461

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Le Thi Thu Diem

License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

This site is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.