Analysis and forecasting of the sacral tourism potential of Kazakhstan with a time series analysis

Amina Uaisova, Aliya Yeleussinova, Gulnash Askhat, Al Fauzi Rahmat, Lóránt Dénes Dávid

Article ID: 3435
Vol 8, Issue 6, 2024

VIEWS - 313 (Abstract) 280 (PDF)

Abstract


The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of tourist resources, conditions and opportunities of sacral tourism in Kazakhstan using panel data (time series and cross-sectional) regression analysis for a sample of 14 regions of Kazakhstan observed over the period from 2004 to 2022. The article presents an overview of modern methods of assessment of the tourist and recreational potential of sacral tourism, as used by national and foreign scientific works. The main focus is on the method of estimating the size and effectiveness of the tourist potential, which reflects the realization and volume of tourist resources and their potential. The overall results show a significant positive effect in that the strongest impact on the increase in the number of tourist residents is the proposed infrastructure and the readiness of regions to receive tourists qualitatively. This study is expected to be of value to firm managers, investors, researchers, and regulators in decision- making at different levels of government.


Keywords


sacral tourism; sacred objects; cultural tourism; estimation methodology; tourism infrastructure; time series analysis; Kazakhstan

Full Text:

PDF


References


Abdigaliyeva, D., Zhumabayev, B., & Isabayeva, B. (2022). The Role of Sacred Sites in the Development of Domestic Tourism in Kazakhstan. Journal in the Ministry of Information and Public Consent of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 1(97), 219–226. https://doi.org/10.51943/1814-6961_2022_1_219

Afanas’ev, O. E., & Afanas’eva, A. V. (2019). Religious tourism as a trend in the global and Russian industry: conceptual essence and development models (Russian). Sovremennye modeli servisa i turizma. 13(3), pp. 7‒27.

Akhmedenov, K. M. (2020). Assessment of the prospects of springs in Western Kazakhstan for use in religious tourism. GeoJournal of Tourism and Geosites, 31(3), 958–965. https://doi.org/10.30892/gtg.31304-527

Aleksandrova, A. Y., & Sorokin, D. P. (2019). Emergence and Development of Tourism Support Framework in Ryazan Region (Slovak). Bulletin of Moscow State Regional University. Series: Natural Sciences, (2), pp. 115-131.

Arun, S., & Suman, S. (2017). Heritage tourism in India: a stakeholder’s perspective. Tourism and Travelling, 1(1), 20-33. https://doi.org/10.21511/tt.1(1).2017.03

Ataman, L. V. (2015). Research of the sacred space of the region: methodology and principles (Russian). Pskovskiy regionologicheskiy zhurnal, 23, 107-117.

Aukhadiyeva, L., & Karatseyeva, T. (2022). Architectural images and symbols of the regional identity of modern architecture in Kazakhstan. Innovaciencia, 10(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.15649/2346075x.2960

Aulet, S., & Duda, T. (2020). Tourism Accessibility and Its Impact on the Spiritual Sustainability of Sacred Sites. Sustainability, 12(22), 9695. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12229695

Available online: https://www.akorda.kz/ (accessed on 12 April 2022).

Bigozhin, U. (2019). Sacred Geographies in the Eurasian Steppe: The Aqkol Shrine as a Symbol of Kazakh Ethnicity and Religiosity. Journal of Ethnology and Folkloristics, 13(2), 131–133. https://doi.org/10.2478/jef-2019-0019

Bozhuk, T. I. (2008). Methodical Aspects of Determining the Assessment of Religious Objects for Tourism (Russian). Lviv State Institute of New Technologies and Management. Chornovola, Lviv, pp. 260–272.

Chlachula, J. (2020). Geoheritage of East Kazakhstan. Geoheritage, 12(4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12371-020-00514-y

Dempere, J., Modugu, K. (2022). Tourist destination competitiveness and ESG performance in the airline industry. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 20(4), 153-165. https://doi.org/10.21511/ppm.20(4).2022.12

Dirin, D. A., & Popov, V. S. (2010). Estimation of the peizazhno-esteticheskoy attractiveness of landshafts: Methodological horizon (Slovak). Izvestiya AltGU, 3(2).

Duda, T., & Doburzyński, D. (2019). Religious tourism vs. sacred space experience: Conflict or complementary interaction? International Journal of Religious Tourism and Pilgrimage, 7(5).

Egorina, A. V., Didaruly, S., & Manapova, Z. H. (2019). Sacred Geography of East Kazakhstan. Eurporan Journal of Natural History, 2, 35-39.

Egorova E. N., Motrich O. V. (2010). Algorithm for assessing the tourism and recreational potential of a region // Strategy for sustainable development of Russian regions (Russian). Regional economics: theory and practice, 3.

El Archi, Y., Benbba, B., Nizamatdinova, Z., et al. (2023). Systematic Literature Review Analysing Smart Tourism Destinations in Context of Sustainable Development: Current Applications and Future Directions. Sustainability, 15(6), 5086. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15065086

Eliseeva, I. I. (2014). Econometrics: Textbook for Master’s Students (Russian). Yurayt Publishing House, 453p.

Erdavletov, S. R. (2000). Geography of tourism: History, theory, methods, practice (Russian). Practice Textbooks, Almaty, 336p.

Gallardo-Vázquez, D. (2023). Attributes influencing responsible tourism consumer choices: Sustainable local food and drink, health-related services, and entertainment. Oeconomia Copernicana, 14(2), 645-686.

Gavurova, B., Rigelsky, M., & Mikeska, M. (2023). Relationships between road transport indicators and expenditure of visitors in the context of European countries’ tourism competitiveness. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 18(2), 393–418. https://doi.org/10.24136/eq.2023.012

Goral, A. (2011). Research on cultural tourism development in sacral and spiritual sites from the UNESCO World Heritage List. International Journal of Heritage and Sustainable Development, 1(1), 49-59.

Gudkovskij, M. V. (2017). Methodology for a comprehensive assessment of tourism and recreation potential. Geographical Bulletin, No.1(40).

Infrastructure of Kazakhstan. (n.d.). Statistics Committee of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Republic of Kazakhstan (Russian). Available online: https://new.stat.gov.kz/ (accessed on 23 January 2022).

Kabul’dinova, Z. E. (2017). Scientifically approved criteria for the selection of objects for inclusion in the project (Slovak). Sacred Geography of Kazakhstan. Kollektivnaya monografiya. Almaty, 260p.

Kalu, E. U., Achike, C., Ogbo, A., Ukpere, W. (2020). Economic growth and unemployment linkage in a developing economy: a gender and age classification perspective. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 18(4), 527-538. https://doi.org/10.21511/ppm.18(4).2020.42

Kazhydromet. (n.d). About hydrology. Available online: https://www.kazhydromet.kz/ru/gidrologiya/o-gidrologii (accessed on 23 January 2022).

Kenzhebekov, N., Zhailauov, Y., Velinov, E., et al. (2021). Foresight of Tourism in Kazakhstan: Experience Economy. Information, 12(3), 138. https://doi.org/10.3390/info12030138

Komlev, N. G. (2006). Dictionary of foreign words (Slovak). Available online: http://rus-yaz.niv.ru/doc/foreign-words-komlev/index-209.htm#209 (accessed on 23 June 2022).

Labadi, S. (2021). Heritage and the sustainable development goals: Policy guidance for heritage and development actors. Making and Sustainable Tourism. 385-394.

Lad, R. (2020). Identifying the need and potential of ecotourism in Nainital, India. Tourism and Travelling, 3(1), 3-15. https://doi.org/10.21511/tt.3(1).2021.02

Li, X., Yang, H. (2023). Place-bound memory and people-bound memory affecting destination loyalty in the food tourism industry. Innovative Marketing, 19(2), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.21511/im.19(2).2023.01

Makenova, G., Tuleubayeva, M., Issayeva, A., & Daurenbekova, A. (2020). Analysis of the Development of International Tourism and Its Impact to Tourism Market: Evidence of Kazakhstan. Journal of Environmental Management & Tourism, 11(8), 2053-2067

Mamraeva, D. G., & Tashenova, L. V. (2020). Methodological instrument for assessing the tourism and recreation potential of a region (Slovak). Ekonomika regiona, 16(1), 127-140.

Marketing, 10: 23-27.

Mezencev, K., & Kogat’ko, U. (2013). Methods of studying the geography of religion: versatility of application, systematization, potential of cartographic and centrographic methods (Slovak). Vestnik Kievskogo nacional’nogo universiteta imeni Tarasa SHevchenko.

Minaev, V. A., Ul’yanchenko, L. A., & Cyshchuk, E. A. (2015). Evaluation of tourist resources and quality of tourism infrastructure in municipal formations (Slovak). Bulletin of the Association of Tourism and Service Universities, 9(3).

Oborin, M. S., & Klimova, O. V. (2015). K voprosu izucheniya metodik ocenki i podhodov k issledovaniyu rekreacionnoj deyatel’nosti.

Ogutu, H., El Archi, Y., & Dénes Dávid, L. (2023). Current trends in sustainable organization management: A bibliometric analysis. Oeconomia Copernicana, 14(1), 11-45.

Okhrimenko, A., & Bovsh, L. (2019). Inclusive development in the national tourist system: Case of Ukraine. Tourism and Travelling, 2(1), 45-59. https://doi.org/10.21511/tt.2(1).2019.06

Omarkozhayeva, A. N., Zhunusova, А. А., & Tercan, T. (2023). Development of Tourism Services through Sacred Sites in Kazakhstan. Migration Letters, 20(S6), 657-669.

Özkan, A. R., Kamalova, F. B., Baitenova, N. Z., & Kantarbaeva, Z. Y. (2019). The effect of sacred sites in Kazakhstan on society their place in the conservation of national identity. Journal for the Study of Religions & Ideologies, 18(54).

Porcel, V. C., Belmonte, M. P. C., & Uriarte, M. M. C. (2024). Delving into sustainability reporting literature: The role of ethics. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 19(1), 279-335.

Priatmoko, S., Kabil, M., Vasa, L., et al. (2021). Reviving an Unpopular Tourism Destination through the Placemaking Approach: Case Study of Ngawen Temple, Indonesia. Sustainability, 13(12), 6704. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13126704

Rasoolimanesh, S. M., Seyfi, S., Hall, C. M., et al. (2021). Understanding memorable tourism experiences and behavioural intentions of heritage tourists. Journal of Destination Marketing & Management, 21, 100621. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdmm.2021.100621

Saakyan, M. A. (2010). Modeling seasonal fluctuations in tourism and forecasting future trends (Slovenian). Problems of modern economics, 1(3).

Shmitt, Z. H. K. (1996). The conception of the sacred and its application in the history of medieval Christianity (Slovak) (T. 4). Moskva: Arbor Mundi. Mirovoe drevo.

Smith, B., & Ripp, M. (2020). Guidelines for sustainable cultural tourism//World Heritage, Place.

Stankova, M., Vasenska I. (2017). Tourism destination competitiveness models. Tourism and Travelling, 1(1), 58-64.

http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/tt.1(1).2017.06

Suhova, M. G. (2009). Ecological-climatic potential of the Altae-Sayanskoye Gornoye part for settlement and recreational natural development (Slovak). Tomsk: avtoreferat.

Tokbergenova, U. A., Abdimanapov, B. S., & Tokpanov, E. A. (2023). Geographical prerequisites for the development of tourism in Kazakhstan. Journal of Geography and Environmental Management, 68(1). https://doi.org/10.26577/jgem.2023.v68.i1.010

Uskova, T. V. (2014). Tourist infrastructure in the region: assessment and perspectives (Slovak). Vologda: ISERT RAN.

Ussubaliyeva, S. D., Uaisova, A., Aitbayeva, G. D., et al. (2020). Assessment of the Attractiveness of Sacred Tourism. International Journal of Criminology and Sociology, 9, 1006–1011. https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-4409.2020.09.109

Usubalieva S.D., Uaisova A., Aitbayeva G.D., et al. (2020) Sacred tourism (Russian). Almaty: Fortune Polygraph Publishing House LLP, 235p.

Velichkina, A. V. (2014). The assessment of the regional tourism infrastructure development. Ehkonomicheskie i sotsialnye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz, 239-250.

Volovik V. N. (2013). Categories of the sacred landscape (Russian). Bulletin of Geography, 4 (27): 26–34.

Yuvanen, E. I., & Shmidt, Y. D. (2006). Assessment of the recreational-tourist attractiveness of the territory (Slovak). Practical.

Zhu, K., Quan, Z., Chen, Y., et al. (2023). Regional sustainability: pressures and responses of tourism economy and ecological environment in the Yangtze River basin, China. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 11, 1148868. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2023.1148868




DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i6.3435

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Amina Uaisova, Aliya Yeleussinova, Gulnash Askhat, Al Fauzi Rahmat, Lóránt Dénes Dávid

License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

This site is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.