The impact of government external debt on labor demand in Indonesia: A VECM approach through the exchange rate channel

Fatmawati Fatmawati, Retno Fitrianti, Mirzalina Zainal, Mayanggita Kirana, Omer Mohamed Taha Alkanan

Article ID: 9132
Vol 8, Issue 15, 2024

VIEWS - 92 (Abstract)

Abstract


considering the rate of the currency channel, this study aims to analyze the effect of government foreign debt on labour demand in Indonesia. The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is used to quantify the exchange rate, while estimates of the labour force participation rate characterize labour demand. this study expands upon the cobb-Douglass production function by including public debt as an integral element of the statistical model. The current study examines time series data from 1994 to 2022 and uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for estimation. in conclusion, the results suggest that an increase in government external debt would result in a decline in labour demand, especially during economic shock associated with an expansion of the government deficit. Moreover, the Real Effective Exchange Rate has a beneficial long-term impact on labour demand. enhancing the purchasing power and stimulating investment through the appreciation of the domestic currency against foreign currencies will consequently increase economic productivity.


Keywords


external debt; demand for labor; REER; productivity; VECM discipline

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd9132

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