Does tourism expansion and expenditure impact economic growth in Oman-New evidence from granger causality analysis

Syed Ahsan Jamil

Article ID: 5439
Vol 8, Issue 7, 2024

VIEWS - 50 (Abstract) 329 (PDF)

Abstract


The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of tourist spending and the growth of Oman’s tourism industry on the country’s GDP from 1996 to 2018. The study uses the error correction model and other tests for assessing the link among variables, such as the cointegration test and the Granger causality test, to accomplish its aims. Findings from the error correlation model and cointegration test show that there is a link between the variables in Oman over the long and short term. There is a positive and statistically significant relationship between tourist expenditures and economic growth, as well as a negative and statistically significant relationship between tourism expansion and economic growth. We now use ARDL regression estimators to assess the robustness of the empirical results. There is no evidence of a direct relationship between increased tourism and GDP growth, according to the study’s results. According to the research, sustainable tourism development is an achievable economic growth driver, and Oman should prioritize economic policies that support this trend.


Keywords


tourism growth; tourism expenditure; economic growth; causality analysis; Oman

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i7.5439

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