Can social financing promote economic growth?—Empirical study based on the evidence of Fujian Province, China
Vol 8, Issue 1, 2025
Abstract
The role of social financing as a catalyst for financial growth, with potential to stimulate economic expansion, is a subject requiring further scrutiny and exploration. This study employs quarterly data from 2014 to 2023, encompassing social financing and economic growth patterns in both China and its Fujian Province. Through the construction of four OLS models and a VAR model, it has been determined that the extent of social financing within Fujian has a notable impact in enhancing regional economic growth, though the direct financing percentage proves to be insignificant. The research suggests that middle-income economies have the potential to increase their social financing scale. Relevant governmental bodies can facilitate economic progression by broadening enterprise financing avenues and altering the ratio of direct financing in social financing as per the actual requirements.
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
1. Denison EF. United States Economic Growth. The Journal of Business. 1962; 35(2): 109. doi: 10.1086/294483
2. Zhu E, Qin Y, Hu G, et al. Secular Stagnation, Affluence of Countries,Economic Growth Factors—Observations and Empirical Evidence Across Global Countries. In: Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Business and Policy Studies; 12 March 2022; Stamford, CA, USA.
3. Xiong Y. An empirical study on the main factors of China’s economic growth. In: Proceedings of 2022 International Conference on Financial Market and Enterprises Management Engineering; 13–14 August 2022; Qingdao, China.
4. Yildirim S, Özdemir BK, Doğan B. Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus in Emerging European Economies: New Evidence from Asymmetric Causality. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. 2012; 3(3): 710–722.
5. Ehigiamusoe KU, Samsurijan MS. What matters for finance-growth nexus? A critical survey of macroeconomic stability, institutions, financial and economic development. International Journal of Finance & Economics. 2020; 26(4): 5302–5320.
6. Zhang C, Liu G. Evolution analysis of the marginal effect of financial structure in the process of economic growth. Economic Research Journal. 2015; (12): 84–99.
7. Xu Y, Huang X. The Excessive Financialization of China’s Economy: Based on the Perspective of Aggregate and Structure. Financial Theory and Teaching. 2022; (05): 1–9.
8. Song L, Xiao Y. Financial Development, Systemic Risk and the Threshold Effect of Economic Growth. Geomatics of Wuhan University (Philosophy and Social Science). 2023; (02): 100–113.
9. Ari I, Koc M. Economic growth, public and private investment: A comparative study of China and the United States. Sustainability. 2020; 12(6): 2243.
10. Jalles JT, Park D, Qureshi I. Public and Private Investment as Catalysts for Growth: An analysis of emerging markets and developing economies with a focus on Asia. Journal of International Money and Finance. 2024; 148: 103166.
11. Sheng S. Social Financing Scale and Monetary Policy Transmission. Journal of Financial Research. 2012; (10): 1–14.
12. Guo L, Zhang X, Xu L. Research on the impact of social financing scale and financing structure on the real economy. Journal of International Finance. 2014; (06): 66–74.
13. Fang Y. Research on the impact of social financing scale on macroeconomic growth. Contemporary Economics. 2021; (12): 24–27.
14. Liu L, Rate P, Wang X. Financing Scale, Financing Structure and Real Economic Development: Based on the Research on China’s Financial Supply-side Reform. Journal of Southwest University for Nationalities (Humanities and Social Sciences). 2017; (05): 138–143.
15. Zhang L, Xiang X. Social Financing Scale and Real Economic Growth: Long-term Equilibrium and Short-term Dynamic Relationship. Contemporary Financial Research. 2017; (03): 23–34.
16. Sheng S. What can be seen from the scale of regional social financing. China Economic Report. 2014; (04): 65–69.
17. Hu H, Wang H. The impact of social financing scale and structure on economic growth: An empirical analysis based on provincial panel threshold regression model. Shanghai Finance. 2018; (03): 31–40.
18. Huang L. Research on the Impact of Social Financing on Economic Growth [Master’s thesis]. China Foreign Affairs University; 2023.
19. Wang C. Regional Differences in the Impact of Social Financing on Economic Growth: Based on the Dual Perspectives of Scale and Structure. Gansu Finance. 2023; (12): 61–66.
20. Aghion P, Howitt P, Mayer-Foulkes D. The Effect of Financial Development on Convergence: Theory and Evidence. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2005; 120(1): 173–222.
21. Xia X. Financing Scale, Structure, and Economic Growth: A Study of China’s Experience. Shanghai Finance. 2014; (03): 8–13.
22. Xie T, Li Y. The impact of social financing scale and financing structure on the real economy: an empirical study based on spatial econometric models. Journal of Southwest University for Nationalities (Humanities and Social Sciences Edition). 2017; (12): 132–140.
23. Shojaie A, Fox EB. Granger causality: A review and recent advances. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application. 2022; 9(1): 289–319.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/fsj10957
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2025 Author(s)
License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/